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Graham Seibert's avatar

Alastair, I love your take on finance. But... I have lived in Ukraine for 18 years. Speak Russian and Ukrainian. I've read Russian history.

Russia is an expansionist nation. It has been throughout its history. Putin has evidenced it in his wars in Chechnya, Georgia and Transnistria, now Ukraine in 2014 and again now.

Trump, whom both of us admire, has been slow to come around. But in his NBC interview he said the obvious. Russia will not be satisfied until they take all of Ukraine. As our European neighbors know from centuries of experience, Putin would not want to stop there. In my opinion they are too exhausted to go further, but they will never renounce the will to dominate their neighbors.

I'll agree that the negotiations will go nowhere. Simply because Putin does not want peace. This tragedy must play itself out until there is a decisive victory. We in Ukraine have no choice but to make sure it is ours. We do not want anything of Russia's, but we surely do not want to be Russian. We did that for several miserable centuries. No more!

Let's have a phone conversation. You are an intelligent guy who will benefit from hearing the other side of an argument even if you don't agree. Send and email and let's get together.

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Graham Seibert's avatar

Alasdair - Sorry to have misspelled your name.

I watched the video and agree with the assessment that Trump was naive. Moreover, that there are existential threats at stake.

I disagree as to what they are. Ukraine's very existence is at stake. Putin's existence is at stake. Russia's is not and never has been.

We agree on the fundamental. That a negotiated settlement is unlikely, for the reasons given. You would blame faulty diplomacy on the part of the United States. I will agree it was not well handled, but given Putin's objectives there was no satisfaction to be had.

Please do give me a call.

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