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Stefan's avatar

There is, under the current system, another flaw even more important than excessive government spending:

The removal of gold as money from the public consciousness led to fiat money being regarded as a means of saving. Since fiat money is created through the monetization of assets by the banking sector and results in a corresponding credit entry in the customer's account, the presence of this medium in the depositor's account leads to this form of money being retained, i.e., saved, in order to be able to cover any expenses. (Saving can also take the form of investing money in stocks, bonds, derivatives, etc., analogous to John Exter's liquidity pyramid, but not in gold.)

A savings rate of, say, 10% enabled the banking sector to expand its balance sheets by 10% as well, without money creation having any noticeable inflationary effect. (In fact, this is pent-up inflation!)

In contrast, a rate of new government borrowing of, say, 3-4% would be negligible even if the net new borrowing were financed through the banking sector as a balance sheet extension. However, if the private sector were to take on the new debt, this would not be inflationary on the one hand, and on the other hand, it would be a welcome opportunity for private individuals to invest their savings at interest, the model on which the insurance industry in particular is based. The latter serves foremost to finance the state quietly and (for the time being) without inflation until the fiat bubble bursts.

The fall from grace was therefore the abandonment of saving in gold and the belief in fiat money. I remember well how, in the early 1980s, gold prices were no longer mentioned on the radio alongside stock market prices, thus removing gold from the public consciousness. May it now return.

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Alastair's avatar

Excellent. Really insightful tour through gold standard history.

Hope for the future slightly tempered by the last 2 sentences, as I think most Western governments are some way from having either a level of discipline or the intellectual capacity to realize what is required in cutting spending.

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